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Kentucky Presidential PVIs, 1932-2016
Kentucky is a solid Republican state today, but that only came recently after decades of being a swing state. The counties in the Bluegrass region were mostly Democratic. The southwest is part of the...
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Louisiana Presidential PVIs, 1916-2016
Like most of the South, Louisiana was solidly Democratic until the Dixiecrats. The Acadiana region, Cajun-dominated South Louisiana, was less Democratic due to Woodrow Wilson’s perceived hostility...
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Maine Presidential PVIs by County, 1912-2016
*I found town data for Maine but only as far back as 1976, and am unsure whether or not to include it in this diary. I do have all the Partisan Voting Index (PVI) data though.Historically Maine was a...
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Maryland Presidential PVIs, 1904-2016
Maryland is one of very few states that has had Democratic dominance from before the Civil War to today. The coalitions just shifted. After the Civil Rights era, Maryland became one of the more...
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Massachusetts PVIs by County, 1880-2016
(Like Maine, I could only find Massachusetts town data that goes back a few decades. I am working on the Maine town data and will post it shortly. I will work on the Massachusetts towns after that and...
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Michigan Presidential PVIs, 1888-2016
Michigan is one of the states a lot of ink and bytes have been devoted to on analyses and discussions, and understandably so. I am not as knowledgeable on the Upper Midwest as some posters here are,...
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Minnesota Presidential PVIs, 1896-2016
Here is another highly-discussed state in which my knowledge far pales to what I have seen here. I will try my best though.Early in the 20th century, like most of the North, Minnesota was very...
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Mississippi Presidential PVIs, 1916-2016
During the Solid South years, Mississippi’s counties were all solidly Democratic. Northern Mississippi was home to many Union sympathizers because of its hilly terrain that was unsuitable for growing...
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Missouri Presidential PVIs, 1892-2016
Missouri has until recently been the national bellwether, voting for the Presidential winner from 1904 to 2004 except 1956. Even as it voted for the winning presidential candidate, Missouri leaned...
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Montana Presidential PVIs, 1908-2016
From around the turn of the century to the 1970s, Montana was swingy and actually leaned Democratic in its Partisan Voting Indexes (PVIs) during the Depression. Throughout the 1930s and 1940s, the...
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Nebraska Presidential PVIs, 1904-2016
Nebraska has had a long Republican history, with a Partisan Voting Index (PVI) of R+8 or greater since 1940, including 1964 even as it voted for Lyndon Johnson (D), the only Democratic presidential...
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Nevada Presidential PVIs, 1908-2016
Nevada has had a lot of swinginess in its presidential election history. Like Missouri, Nevada voted for the presidential winner in every election for a century except one. In Nevada’s case, the state...
View ArticleNew Hampshire PVIs by County, 1880-2016
New Hampshire receives a lot of attention because of its close margins in presidential elections and its status as the second state in which voters choose the presidential nominees of each party (and...
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New Jersey Presidential PVIs, 1904-2016
New Jersey today is considered a Democratic state, though its D+6 PVI means that Democrats have just a modest advantage statewide. This Democratic lean came fairly recently after a long history of...
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New Mexico Presidential PVIs, 1916-2016
The Land of Enchantment has been close politically for most of its time as a state. New Mexico voted for the national popular vote winner in every election except 1976 when Gerald Ford (R) won every...
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New York Presidential PVIs, 1888-2016
From the 1880s to the 1980s, New York was swingy. The cities were Democratic because of high proportions of Catholics and Jews. Most of the rest of the state outside the cities was mostly Protestant...
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North Carolina Presidential PVIs, 1916-2016
Like the rest of the South, North Carolina was historically very Democratic though not as much as the Deep South. Eastern North Carolina was populated by mostly slaveholders and later Confederate...
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North Dakota Presidential PVIs, 1904-2016
North Dakota has had a long history of Republicanism, with some progressivism in the early 20th century with the rise of the left-leaning Non-Partisan League (NPL) from the American Society of Equity...
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Ohio Presidential PVIs, 1876-2016
Ohio has been a close state for most presidential elections in the last 140 years, with a slight Republican Partisan Voting Index (PVI) for most of that time.Ohio voted significantly more Republican in...
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Oklahoma Presidential PVIs, 1916-2016
Oklahoma has been a conservative state for most of its history. In the early 20th century, the state was a Democratic stronghold. However, Democratic infighting on racial and spending issues paved the...
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Oregon Presidential PVIs, 1908-2016
For most of the first half of the 20th century, Oregon leaned Republican relative to the country except 1932 and 1936, including the close elections of 1916, 1948, and 1960. The 1950s saw a transition...
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Pennsylvania Presidential PVIs, 1892-2016
Here is another state that has understandably generated a lot of electoral discussion, especially from people with more extensive knowledge than me. Here is my analysis.In the late 19th and early 20th...
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Rhode Island Presidential PVIs, 1884-2016
In the late 19th and early 20th centuries, Rhode Island had strongly Republican Partisan Voting Indexes (PVIs) like most of New England. Rhode Island became more Democratic in the 1920s because of a...
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South Carolina Presidential PVIs, 1916-2016
(The gray counties did not have all the data needed to calculate the Partisan Voting Index (PVI)).As was typical in most of the South in the early 20th century, South Carolina was solidly Democratic...
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South Dakota Presidential PVIs, 1896-2016
(Gray counties did not yet exist.)Like in its neighbor to the north, South Dakota politics since statehood have almost always been dominated by the Republican Party. Democratic presidential candidates...
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Tennessee Presidential PVIs, 1916-2016
Tennessee was a Democratic state early on in the 20th century, though mostly the Democratic leans were modest. Most of Middle and West Tennessee grew cotton and tobacco with slave labor. East...
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Texas Presidential PVIs, 1916-2016
(Gray counties had insufficient data to calculate Partisan Voting Indexes (PVIs)).Texas was part of the Solid Democratic South in the early 20th century except when it voted for Herbert Hoover (R) in...
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Utah Presidential PVIs, 1900-2016
(Gray counties had insufficient data to calculate Partisan Voting Indexes (PVIs)).For most of the first half of its history as a state, Utah had swingy PVIs. Kane County, the county in the center on...
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Vermont Presidential PVIs, 1892-2016
Vermont is well-known for its long history of Republican voting before turning to the Democrats from 1992 to today. Looking deeper, Vermont was indeed dark red from the late 19th to the early 20th...
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Virginia Presidential PVIs, 1916-2016
(I do not have all the data to calculate the gray counties/independent cities’ Partisan Voting Indexes (PVIs)).In the early 20th century Virginia was mostly Democratic except the southwest, which was...
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Washington Presidential PVIs, 1896-2016
(Gray counties did not yet exist and thus I could not calculate the Partisan Voting Indexes (PVIs).)Early in the 20th century Washington leaned Republican, with the western counties being more...
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West Virginia Presidential PVIs, 1916-2016
West Virginia is best known as an historically Democratic state that swung sharply right in recent decades. Republicans did have their areas of strength, mainly in the eastern counties especially Grant...
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Wisconsin Presidential PVIs, 1896-2016
(The counties in gray did not yet have Partisan Voting Indexes (PVIs).)Here is my analysis of a state that has also been widely discussed by users with better knowledge than me.After being firmly in...
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Wyoming Presidential PVIs, 1896-2016
Wyoming has been a Republican state for nearly all of its history, mostly just leaning Republican until the 1960s. From the New Deal on, the southern counties were swingy or Democratic because of...
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My Analysis of Southern Central and Southern California (Part 1: San Luis...
After my post-Partisan Voting Index series hiatus, I decided to write a similar analysis on the Central Coast and Southern California to see if anything pops out to me that is contrary to conventional...
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My Analysis of the Central Coast and Southern California (Part 2: Santa Cruz...
It would have made more sense to start here and work my way south. However, since I have San Luis Obispo up, and only decided on Santa Cruz and Monterey after I put that entry up, I will do Santa Cruz...
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My Analysis of the Central Coast and Southern California (Part 3: Monterey...
I was originally planning to do a data science project to help estimate how the unincorporated areas voted in the presidential election, but studies, life, and other projects took precedence, so it...
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My Analysis of the Central Coast and Southern California (Part 4: Santa...
Santa Barbara CountyDemographics (2019): 45.8% Hispanic, 44.1% Non-Hispanic White, 6.0% Asian, 2.4% BlackPopulation (2010): 423,895Growth rate: Moderate (12% since 2000)President: 53.2% D/45.2% R...
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My Analysis of the Central Coast and Southern California: (Part 5: Ventura...
This is the last of the Central Coast part of my series. I am not as familiar with this part of California as I am with the L.A. and San Diego urban areas, so my analyses aren't as detailed.Ventura...
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My Analysis of the Central Coast and Southern California (Part 6): San...
San Bernardino CountyDemographics (2019): 54.0% Hispanic, 27.8% Non-Hispanic White, 10.0% Black, 8.6% AsianPopulation (2010): 2,035,210Growth rate: Fast (27.5% since 2000)President: 55.3% R/43.5% R...
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My Analysis of the Central Coast and Southern California (Part 7): Riverside...
Riverside CountyDemographics (2010): 45.5% Hispanic, 40.7% Non-Hispanic White, 6.4% Black, 6.0% AsianPopulation (2010): 2,189,641Growth rate: Very fast (59.9% since 2000)President: 57.83% R/41.04% R...
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My Analysis of the Central Coast and Southern California (Part 8): Imperial...
Imperial CountyDemographics (2018): 84.6% Hispanic, 10.4% Non-Hispanic White, 3.4% Black, 2.1% AsianPopulation (2010): 174,528Growth rate: Fast (27% since 2000)President: 52.41% D/46.36% R (2004);...
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My Analysis of Southern California (and the Central Coast) Part 9: San Diego...
San Diego CountyDemographics (2010): 45.2% White, 32.0% Hispanic, 10.9% Asian, 5.1% BlackPopulation (2010): 3,095,313Growth rate: Moderately fast (19.7% since 2000)President: 52.45% R / 46.33% D...
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My Analysis of Southern California (and the Central Coast) Part 10: Orange...
Orange CountyDemographics (2010): 40.1% White, 34.2% Hispanic, 21.4% Asian, 2.1% BlackPopulation (2010): 3,010,232Growth rate: Moderate (11.6% since 2000)President: 59.68% R / 38.98% D (2004), 50.19% R...
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My Analysis of Southern California (and the Central Coast) Part 11: Los...
Los Angeles CountyDemographics (2010): 48.6% Hispanic, 26.1% White, 15.4% Asian, 9.0% BlackPopulation (2010): 9,818,605Growth rate: Slow (6% since 2000)President: 63.10% D / 35.60% R (2004), 69.19% D /...
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My Analysis of Southern California (and the Central Coast) Part 12: Los...
GlendaleDemographics (2010): 62.0% White, 18.2% Hispanic, 15.5% Asian, 1.6% BlackPopulation (2010): 191,719President: 58.64% D / 39.97% R (2004), 65.05% D / 32.93% R (2008), 64.34% D / 32.79% R (2012),...
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My Analysis of Southern California (and the Central Coast) Part 13: Los...
PomonaDemographics (2010): 70.5% Hispanic, 12.5% White, 8.5% Asian, 7.3% BlackPopulation (2010): 149,058President: 64.44% D / 34.33% R (2004), 72.19% D / 25.94% R (2008), 73.94% D / 23.76% R (2012),...
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My analysis of Southern California (and the Central Coast) Part 14: Los...
Long BeachDemographics (2010): 42.5% Hispanic, 28.1% White, 13.1% Asian, 12.9% BlackPopulation (2010): 462,257President: 64.40% D / 34.17% R (2004), 69.49% D / 28.44% R (2008), 69.88% D / 27.55% R...
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My analysis of Southern California (and the Central Coast) Part 15: Los...
Santa MonicaDemographics (2010): 70.1% White, 13.1% Hispanic, 9.0% Asian, 3.9% BlackPopulation (2010): 89,736President: 75.06% D / 23.68% R (2004), 79.30% D / 18.79% R (2008), 76.24% D / 20.70% R...
View Article2020 Presidential Percentages for Central Coastal and Southern California...
With the release of the Supplement to the Statement of Vote, I calculated the percentages that each city in the 11 counties I analyzed gave to Joe Biden (D) and Donald Trump (R). I have also updated...
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